Monthly Archives: May 2010

Early view on the real oil leak failures

I’ve spent a bit of time trying to understand the drivers behind the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico (see posts on ‘The ‘Worst case’ isn’t ever the worst’ and ‘Part deux – ‘worst case’ = self-delusion‘).  The congressional … Continue reading

Posted in Cognitive biases, Environment, General | 1 Comment

I hate to-do lists – any ideas?

I find to-do lists are pretty annoying, especially at home, even though they feel like they should be valuable.  What bugs me most is that if that the more you try and list all the tasks, the worse it makes … Continue reading

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Part deux – ‘worst case’ = self-delusion

I was interested to see today that the possible leakage rate from the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico may need to be revised up again.  Amongst other things, I noted in a post here that the leak was … Continue reading

Posted in Cognitive biases, Environment, News | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

The ‘Worst case’ isn’t ever the worst

I am intrigued (and appalled) by the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, and the note that the spill was worse than BPs worst case estimate.  As soon as anyone talks about worst case estimates I get deeply sceptical, … Continue reading

Posted in Cognitive biases, Environment | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments