Category Archives: Cognitive biases

AVing a bias?

Posted on April 23, 2011 by Greg

The UK has a referendum on the government voting mechanism on the 5th May, to offer a choice between the existing first past the post scheme and an alternative called ‘Alternative Vote’.  I don’t often venture into Political debate, and … Continue reading →

Posted in Cognitive biases, politics | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Unplugging chargers won’t save the planet

Posted on June 22, 2010 by Greg

I recently read an article lauding efforts to cut a companies contributions to global warming. And, the contributions in the article, such as ensuring all buildings were properly insulated feel very sensible (I am slightly amazed that they weren’t already … Continue reading →

Posted in Cognitive biases, Environment | Leave a comment

Early view on the real oil leak failures

Posted on May 27, 2010 by Greg

I’ve spent a bit of time trying to understand the drivers behind the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico (see posts on ‘The ‘Worst case’ isn’t ever the worst’ and ‘Part deux – ‘worst case’ = self-delusion‘).  The congressional … Continue reading →

Posted in Cognitive biases, Environment, General | 1 Comment

Part deux – ‘worst case’ = self-delusion

Posted on May 5, 2010 by Greg

I was interested to see today that the possible leakage rate from the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico may need to be revised up again.  Amongst other things, I noted in a post here that the leak was … Continue reading →

Posted in Cognitive biases, Environment, News | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

The ‘Worst case’ isn’t ever the worst

Posted on May 2, 2010 by Greg

I am intrigued (and appalled) by the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, and the note that the spill was worse than BPs worst case estimate.  As soon as anyone talks about worst case estimates I get deeply sceptical, … Continue reading →

Posted in Cognitive biases, Environment | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments